The Indian Packaging Industry is
growing at more than 15% per annum. India stands at the 11th position in the
world packaging industry and with the rising consumer demand and new
technologies, it is expected to grow at 18-20 per cent and it is expected that
annual turnover of Indian packaging industry will touch $32 billion by 2025. At
the expected growth pace Indian Packaging Industry will soon climb up to the
4th position in the world packaging industry. There will be ten times increase
of middle class population by 2025 in India which will further trigger the
consumption of packaging material and thus, the packaging industry will grow
further.
With packaging industry sector
being the flavor of the season, let us look at Shetron Ltd.
Shetron Ltd. was incorporated in 1980 and is engaged in
manufacturing of Metal Packaging, Printed Metal Sheets and Dry-cell Battery Jackets and Components. Company caters to Food and Beverage sector through products
like Metal Cans, Can Ends, Laminated Composite Cans, General Purpose Cans, Lug
Caps.
The packaged food industry is still in nascent phase in India
and there is going to be a huge growth in the future in line with
the western world. Just go to any hyper
market and one would definitely see
imported packaged foods from US / Europe / Middle East. The demand for such products is going to increase in future.
In Industrial sector it supplies, paper core, micro finish
tubes and Fiber drums for bulk packaging. The Company is also the largest
integrated Producer of Dry Cell Battery Jackets in the South East Asian region
and Europe. It
enjoys a market share of around 80% in the domestic dry cell battery jacket /
components. The company supplies dry cell battery jackets
to Panasonic, Duracell, Energizer Battery, Budget Battery etc.
Company supplies Fiber Foil through Fibre
Foils Technology Ltd. and manufactures Composite Cans, Fibre Drums, Paper
Cores, Tubes, Film Cores and Paper Sleeves. It caters to Food Industry, Pharmaceutical
Industry, Pesticide Industry, Consumer Goods Industry and Metal &
Engineering.
Company’s subsidiary Sansha System Limited is involved in the
Design and manufacturing of Press Tools And Sheet Metal Components, and
Precession Spare Parts for the Battery and General Engineering Industries.
It caters to companies like HP, Godrej, Eveready, IFB, Siemens, Maruti, Hero
Honda, TVS Motor Company, BEML, ISRO etc.
Company’s has almost 44% raw material through imports which is
primarily tin plate and rupee depreciation also impacted the company however it
also benefitted from 30% exports. Company was facing problem on account of slowdown
in economy, stretched working capital cycle and high debt. Company had issues
servicing its debt due to which its fitch downgraded its rating to “D”. Link here
Things however started turning for good with increase in its
topline and financials which is also demonstrated by upgrade in fitch ratings
to “BB-“ Link here in 2013.
Now lets look at the improving financial position of the
company. Company's sales are consistently increasing and PAT is gradually increasing as compared to FY 11.
The only concern which I see is the high debt which I feel would be mitigated by the consistently increasing topline. Company’s operating margin are good at 17% however interest cost impacting the PAT margin. As company grows and debt reduces yoy, things will improve further.
Recommending to buy at cmp for decent upside backed by
overall increase in demand in this sector, established business model,
improving financials, presence of funds
like JP Morgan Special Situations (Mauritius) Ltd and India Max
Investment Fund Ltd. I feel it can be a turnaround story.
Also it is trading at a discount to book value of Rs 44 and available at a market cap of Rs 20 Crs as against sales of Rs 130 Crs.
Disc: I am invested in this company.
Also it is trading at a discount to book value of Rs 44 and available at a market cap of Rs 20 Crs as against sales of Rs 130 Crs.
Disc: I am invested in this company.
Very Good analysis. The way you post your research is improving with every New recommendation.
ReplyDeleteGod Bless You!
You rightly pointed out that the only concern is debt rest looks very attractive.
#Deepak
The problem with this stock is the low volume at which it is traded, just like your previous recommendation meghmani organics.
ReplyDeleteAt such low volumes, the stock becomes a little more riskier.
Hello sir,
ReplyDeleteOne of the most important thing for retail investors to how much promoter holding is present in this company and what is the trend decreasing or increasing its holdings ? Can you please address for Shetron. It gives the confidence to retail investors like us...
sir. is it still a good buy. it has not moved from recommended price range. Recently very high volumes also seen on the stock..?? any updates
ReplyDeletesir what is your view on INTRASOFT TECHNOLOGIES?
ReplyDeleteIT IS THE ECOMMERCE COMPANY , DEBT FREE AND GROWING AT TREMENDOUS PACE.
WILL IT A MINI FLIPKART.
THE ONLY SECOND LISTED PLAYER IN THIS SEGMENT.
Perfect Analysis. Keep sharing your beautiful experiences. Thanks.
ReplyDelete