Friday 14 November 2014

Mr & Mrs Khanna: The latest blockbuster on D-street tracked by market watchers - Interesting read from todays ET

Mr & Mrs Khanna: The latest blockbuster on D-street tracked by market watchers

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ET Intelligence Group: Every bull market produces stars — those who churn one multi-bagger after another. One such name which is being closely tracked by avid market watchers, and participants these days, is Dolly Khanna.

With stakes of more than 1% in 14 listed companies, Khanna's shareholdings are worth at least a few hundred crores. Most of these stocks — mainly small-caps — have multiplied several times, earning her a devoted fan following on Dalal Street in recent years. But, there is one thing that flummoxes them: they don't know who Dolly Khanna is.

That is strange because such impressive stock pickings usually spark frenzied hero worship, especially among those who prefer to piggyback rather than identify their own winners to make big money.

The only time her name pops up is when she buys more than 1% or more in a company. No one knows how she looks though traders' blogs have some versions of her identity. But, those market watchers who insist on knowing more about the thoughts behind picking the stock winners, could benefit better by talking to her husband, Rajiv. The low-profile investor revealed to ET that Dolly Khanna is a homemaker and that he manages her investments. 

For Chennai-based Khanna, stock investing is more of a hobby than a profession. The Khannas own Kwality Milk Foods, which sold its ice-cream business to Hindustan Unilever in 1995. With the money he got after selling the ice cream business, Rajiv Khanna, 67, started investing in the market in 1996-97 for the first time.

"It started as a hobby and remains a hobby. My core business is of milk products," said the lowprofile investor, who agreed to talk to ET over phone after weeks of persuasion. He did not respond to requests seeking an interview in person. Hawkins Cookers was his first multi-bagger. Khanna started accumulating the stock in 2007 and went on accumulating it till June 2009 at an average price of 130-140. Today, the stock is trading at Rs 3,400, and the company has given at least 70% of its profits as dividends. 
Then, there was nothing stopping Khanna. He went on to identify small-cap winners such as Wimplast (more than 7 times in two years), Cera Sanitaryware (more than 7 times in two years ), RS Software (4 times in less than two years), and Avanti Feeds (more than 4 times in less than 6 months). Khanna's passion for picking stocks through extensive research can be traced back to his first job. A chemical engineer from IIT Madras, Khanna worked for ICI Ltd, a pharmaceutical company as a research person in the field of industrial explosives and blasting physics. In 1986, he started his company - Kwality Milk Foods. In the first decade of his investing career, gains from the market were modest. It was only after 2007 that the stakes started becoming bigger. 

Mr & Mrs Khanna: The latest blockbuster on D-street tracked by market watchers


Dolly Khanna's portfolio (companies in which she holds more than 1%) has grown from Rs 1 crore in 2007 to Rs 175 crore at present. She also holds shares in several other companies but that does not appear in the shareholding of those companies. "We also have holdings in larger companies but we can't buy more than 1% of them," he said. 

Khanna's latest bets (bought in the last one year) include Premier Explosives, Mold-tek Packaging and Nilkamal. These stocks have at gained significantly from the time of the purchase. He declined to talk in detail about his investments. But, when asked about Nilkamal, a plastic product company and the only stock in which he increased his holding in the September quarter, Khanna said "Crude has started correcting. Let's see what happens." " He claims he does not talk to company managements before buying a stock. "We purely rely on the public information and act on it.

ET spoke to top officials of three companies, including Liberty Shoes, Manjushree Technopak and Nilkamal, in which Khanna's holding is more than 1%. 

The officials said they have not heard of Dolly Khanna. While the name is well-known on Dalal Street, few in the market know about Rajiv Khanna. "Although I have never got to meet them, I've been hearing of them. They have been able to identify good companies at a very early stage and have made good money through investments," said a Chennai based fund manager. 

When asked about the investment strategy, Khanna said, "It all depends on the underlying market condition. Like in tennis you play different games on different courts — hard court, clay court and lawn, we also study the market situation and pick our stocks accordingly. It can be either a value stock, growth stock, momentum stock or buying based on technicals." He feels market is the most complex puzzle, "It's not the money, it's the challenge what is exciting. Money is just the outcome. And once you start to understand the game, making money is not difficult," he said.

Thursday 13 November 2014

Dynacon Systems and Solutions - Result update

Good set of nos. from Dyancon in Q2 FY 15. Increase in both topline and bottomline on QoQ and YoY. Buy more.

Rs Crs
Q2 FY 15
Q2 FY 14
Q1 FY 15
YoY
QoQ
Net Sales
29.4800
19.2700
22.5900
52.98%
30.50%
PAT
0.2459
0.1651
0.1637
48.94%
50.21%
Book Value / Share




28.08

Tuesday 11 November 2014

Dynacon Systems and Solutions - Buy


Business Model:

Dynacon Systems and Solutions is an end to end IT Infrastructure solutions provider. The Company undertakes all activities related to IT infrastructure including infrastructure design and consulting services, turnkey systems integration of large network and data centre infrastructures including supply of associated equipment and software; on-site and remote facilities management of multi- location infrastructure of domestic clients. Its Enterprise Services offerings include a wide spectrum of Enterprise IT and Office Automation Services including Infrastructure Managed Services, Breakfix Services, Managed Print Services, Cloud Computing, Systems Integration Services, and Applications.

The key verticals driving growth for the company are - BFSI, Education, and the Government sector. Company has recently entered into several new strategic partnerships with Global IT Companies like Oracle, Aruba, Riverbed. Company has added several key customers in these segments towards managing their IT Infrastructure and Networking for their offices and branches. Dynacons has bagged the Managed Services order for Maharashtra Co-op Bank for managing their Data Centre and Disaster Recovery Centre for a period of 3 years.It has also undertaken several solution deployments such as Reserve Bank of India, State Bank of India, Central Bank, Bank of India, CGGVeritas, Breach Candy Hospital, etc. Company received recognition as the Emerging IT Infrastructure Services Company by CIO Choice. Link to various customers of the company is here.

The System Integration (SI) segment is the main contributor to the revenue growth for the company. Dynacon has also collaborated with large System Integrators for working together on large projects. In FY 14 , it won projects with Tata Consultancy Services and Atos.




The adoption of Social media, Mobile, Analytics and Cloud (SMAC) technologies is expected to drive growth in all the segments. Cloud and client maturity are the major drivers for this, especially in IT. Dynacons is adapting this technology for upgrading its existing solutions as part of its offerings.
Expected opening up of  infrastructure sectors like roads, airports and sea ports, national e-Governance initiatives and implementation of Mission projects, is going to drive an increase in IT spend. This presents unprecedented opportunity for growth for the company.

Company derives more than 15% of its revenue from Storage space, which has grown at a pace of 25% YOY for last 3 – 5 years. Company has adopted revolutionary Software Defined Strorage (SDS) in the enterprise technology space. This is an upcoming technology in this segment and article on company’s promoters this was printed on the cover page of Channel World Magazine September 2014. Link here

SDS Technology provides the following benefits over the traditional data storage method:

Flexibility—Hardware-defined storage solutions are rigid, proprietary systems that lock you into specific vendors and protocols. By contrast,software-defined storage tends to be based on open systems that are much more adaptable to changing needs and that allow you to mix and match storage layers for optimal cost effectiveness.

Scalability—Software-defined solutions provide immediacy and relatively limitless scalability. To scale a hardware-based system requires the time and money and floor space of buying—installing—configuring the hardware. To scale a software-defined system, on the other hand, requires just a couple of software commands.

Economy—When considering the real cost of ownership (RCO), software-defined storage reduces the cost of buying new gear, the cost of operating the equipment, and even the cost of disposal fees. Taken together, the cumulative effect of all these cost reductions can generate savings as large as 70% or more.

Resource leveragability—With the operational simplicity of software-defined storage, businesses don’t have to maintain engineering overhead to develop separate solutions for different hardware and media, thereby allowing IT departments to focus more resources on strategic business issues.

Source:

I feel that with supernormal explosion in data these days and to save every bit of it would compel organizations to go for SDS technology and will benefit Dynacon going forward.

A snapshot of various parameters considered for arriving at a buying decision.


Rs Crs
2011
2012
2013
2014
Q1 FY 15
Q2 FY 15
Remarks
Net Sales
42.33
52.2
58.7
77.65
22.6

Growing Topline
Net Profit
0.77
1.03
0.52
0.58
0.16

NPM should improve going forward
Market Cap



5.62



Market Cap / Sales



0.07


Market cap of around 7% of sales.
Book Value



27.66



Current Price



9.48



CMP / Book Value



0.34


Trading at 34% of its book value.
Promoter Holding
29.67%
29.67%
29.67%
30.09%
31.09%
31.49%
Increasing gradually.


Please have your own due diligence before buying.

I am invested in this stock.

Happy Investing!





Saturday 8 November 2014

Daikafill Chemicals - Results Update

Daikafill Chemicals – Result Update.

Company’s net sales and profit both has increased on quarterly and yearly basis, recommending to hold.



Rs Crs
Q2 FY 15
Q1 FY 15
Q2 FY 14
YoY Increase
QoQ Increase
Net Sales
9.87
9.27
8.84
11.65%
6.47%
Profit
0.6687
0.4865
0.5111
30.84%
37.45%

Friday 7 November 2014

Shetron - Result update



Consolidated sales increases from Rs 34 Crs to Rs 42 Crs for Q2 Sep on YoY basis. A growth of more than 24%. Similarly, profit of Rs 42 lakhs in Q2 FY 15 as compared to loss of Rs 26 lakhs in Q2 FY 14 (even after Rs 38 Lakhs of other income in Q2 FY 14).



Good part is that company has been able to bring down the long term debt from Rs ~ 74 Crs to Rs 68 Crs from March 2014 to Sep 2014. Company’s only concern is the huge debt on its books and if this trend is any indication, good days are ahead. Company already has good operating margins of ~16%, PAT margin is suffering only because of high interest cost. If sales were to remain stagnant in worst case, even then with debt coming down, company’s value will automatically increase. So, everything here is right for the company be it product demand, company’s vintage, quality of customers, market share except for huge debt, which will come down over a period of time. I feel its worth staying invested here. 

Recommending to hold.

Kellton Tech - 100% return in less than 3 months

Kellton Tech recommended to buy at Rs 13.29 on 24 August 2014 hits lifetime high of Rs 26.75. This is a emerging web/mobile/ ERP / cloud story. Please hold.

Prima Plastics - 100% return in less than 2.5 months

Prima plastics recommended on 25th August at Rs 22.60 hits a life time high of Rs 45.95 with more than 100% return in 2.5 months. Crude prices softening would be a positive for this industry. Please continue to hold.